In einem Interview mit dem Generaldirektor der IAEA Dr. Muhammad Al-Baradei, ausgestrahlt auf dem Fernsehsender Al-Arabiya am 20. Juni 2008, sagte Dr. Al-Baradei, dass der Iran nur noch 6 bis 12 Monate von der Atomwaffe entfernt ist:
Muhammad Al-Baradei: If Iran wants to turn to the production of nuclear weapons, it must leave the NPT, expel the IAEA inspectors, and then it would need at least… Considering the number of centrifuges and the quantity of uranium Iran has…
Interviewer: How much time would it need?
Muhammad Al-Baradei: It would need at least six months to one year. Therefore, Iran will not be able to reach the point where we would wake up one morning to an Iran with a nuclear weapon.
Interviewer: Excuse me, I would like to clarify this for our viewers. If Iran decides today to expel the IAEA from the country, it will need six months…
Muhammad Al-Baradei: Or one year, at least…
Interviewer:… to produce [nuclear] weapons?
Muhammad Al-Baradei: It would need this period to produce a weapon, and to obtain highly-enriched uranium in sufficient quantities for a single nuclear weapon.
Es kann auch nicht ausgeschlossen werden, dass der Iran an Informationen gelangt ist, wie ein kompakter nuklearer Sprengsatz fuer die Langstreckenraketen des Irans gebaut wird:
The drawings, discovered in 2006 on computers owned by Swiss businessmen, included essential details for building a compact nuclear device that could be fitted on a type of ballistic missile used by Iran and more than a dozen developing countries, the report states.
The computer contents — among more than 1,000 gigabytes of data seized — were recently destroyed by Swiss authorities under the supervision of the U.N. nuclear watchdog agency, which is investigating the now-defunct smuggling ring previously led by Pakistani scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan.
But U.N. officials cannot rule out the possibility that the blueprints were shared with others before their discovery, said the report’s author, David Albright, a prominent nuclear weapons expert who spent four years researching the smuggling network.